Course Modules

Practical details

Practical details Practical details

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0.1 Quick overview 0.1 Quick overview 1

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0.2 Practical details 0.2 Practical details 2

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Chapter 1: Systems thinking, SD, and problem orientated analysis

Chapter 1: Systems thinking, SD, and problem orientated analysis Chapter 1: Systems thinking, SD, and problem orientated analysis

Prerequisites: Practical details

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1. Systems thinking and problem oriented analysis 1. Systems thinking and problem oriented analysis 1

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1.1a. Leadership 1.1a. Leadership 2

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1.1b. Ignored knowledge 1.1b. Ignored knowledge 2 3

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1.2 A brief history of System Dynamics 1.2 A brief history of System Dynamics 4

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1.3: Systems thinking to deal with complexity 1.3: Systems thinking to deal with complexity 5

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1.4 Cause and effect, stocks and flows, feedback loops, and nonlinearities 1.4 Cause and effect, stocks and flows, feedback loops, and nonlinearities 6

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1.5 Systems thinking in other words 1.5 Systems thinking in other words 7

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1.5 Quiz: Systems thinking and diffusion. 1.5 Quiz: Systems thinking and diffusion. 3 8

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1.6: Problem oriented analysis: P'HAPI 1.6: Problem oriented analysis: P'HAPI 9

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1.6: Practicing P'HAPI 1.6: Practicing P'HAPI 5 10

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1.7 Summary chapter 1 1.7 Summary chapter 1 11

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Chapter 2: Problem behaviour over time

Chapter 2: Problem behaviour over time Chapter 2: Problem behaviour over time

Prerequisites: Chapter 1: Systems thinking, SD, and problem orientated analysis

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2. Problem behavior and problem definition 2. Problem behavior and problem definition 1

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2.1. Working with Stella 2.1. Working with Stella 2

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2.2: Problem definition and representation of problem observations in Stella 2.2: Problem definition and representation of problem observations in Stella 3

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2.2 Quiz: Three behavior modes for linear dynamic models 2.2 Quiz: Three behavior modes for linear dynamic models 3 4

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2.3: Three basic problem behaviors 2.3: Three basic problem behaviors 5

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2.4: Time series analysis 2.4: Time series analysis 6

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2.5: Phenomenology and System Dynamics 2.5: Phenomenology and System Dynamics 7

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2.6 Summary 2.6 Summary 8

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Chapter 3: Instantaneous cause and effect relationships

Chapter 3: Instantaneous cause and effect relationships Chapter 3: Instantaneous cause and effect relationships

Prerequisites: Chapter 2: Problem behaviour over time

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3. Instantaneous cause and effect (Chapter Overview) 3. Instantaneous cause and effect (Chapter Overview) 1

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3.1. Structure and behavior 3.1. Structure and behavior 2

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3.2 A brief introduction to functions 3.2 A brief introduction to functions 3

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3.2 Quiz: Reading an instantaneous cause and effect relationship 3.2 Quiz: Reading an instantaneous cause and effect relationship 2 4

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3.3: Linear and nonlinear instantaneous cause and effect 3.3: Linear and nonlinear instantaneous cause and effect 5

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3.3: Quiz: Calculating effects at a point and over time 3.3: Quiz: Calculating effects at a point and over time 5 6

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3.4: How to represent instantaneous cause and effect relationships with mathematics 3.4: How to represent instantaneous cause and effect relationships with mathematics 7

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3.4a Quiz: Simulating an instantaneous cause and effect relationship 3.4a Quiz: Simulating an instantaneous cause and effect relationship 1 8

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3.4b Quiz: Simulating a non-linear function for catch per unit effort 3.4b Quiz: Simulating a non-linear function for catch per unit effort 3 9

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3.5: How to represent instantaneous cause and effect relationships with a graphical functions 3.5: How to represent instantaneous cause and effect relationships with a graphical functions 10

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3.6: Modeling and calibrating a linear relationship 3.6: Modeling and calibrating a linear relationship 11

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3.6: Quiz. Calibrating a model to data 3.6: Quiz. Calibrating a model to data 1 12

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3.7: Deep insight: Searching for external causes 3.7: Deep insight: Searching for external causes 13

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3.7: Quiz: Summarizing Instantaneous cause and effect 3.7: Quiz: Summarizing Instantaneous cause and effect 4 14

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Chapter 4: Accumulating cause and effect relationships

Chapter 4: Accumulating cause and effect relationships Chapter 4: Accumulating cause and effect relationships

Prerequisites: Chapter 3: Instantaneous cause and effect relationships

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4. Introduction to accumulating cause and effect 4. Introduction to accumulating cause and effect 1

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4.1: Handling accumulation with instantaneous thinking 4.1: Handling accumulation with instantaneous thinking 2

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4.1: Quiz: Interpreting a scatter plot 4.1: Quiz: Interpreting a scatter plot 1 3

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4.2: A stock and flow model of accumulation 4.2: A stock and flow model of accumulation 4

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4.3: A little more on the stock and flow building blocks 4.3: A little more on the stock and flow building blocks 5

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4.4: How to identify stocks 4.4: How to identify stocks 6

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4.5: How to define a flow 4.5: How to define a flow 7

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4.5. Quiz: Is this variable a stock? 4.5. Quiz: Is this variable a stock? 7 8

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4.6. Experiencing the behavior of a stock and flow system 4.6. Experiencing the behavior of a stock and flow system 9

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4.6a. Quiz: Water stock and flow 4.6a. Quiz: Water stock and flow 2 10

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4.6b: Quiz: Testing two competing hypothesis 4.6b: Quiz: Testing two competing hypothesis 4 11

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4.7: Simulating a stock and flow relationship 4.7: Simulating a stock and flow relationship 12

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4.7 Quiz: Numerical integration 4.7 Quiz: Numerical integration 3 13

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4.8. Why Euler integration is not always perfect 4.8. Why Euler integration is not always perfect 14

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4.9: Understanding behavior by graphical integration 4.9: Understanding behavior by graphical integration 15

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4.9a: Quiz: Graphical integration: Direction 4.9a: Quiz: Graphical integration: Direction 2 16

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4.9b: Quiz: Graphical integration: size of change 4.9b: Quiz: Graphical integration: size of change 2 17

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4.9c: Quiz: Graphical integration: shape of the stock development 4.9c: Quiz: Graphical integration: shape of the stock development 2 18

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4.10: Stock development for more complex net flows 4.10: Stock development for more complex net flows 19

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4.10: Quiz: Practicing Graphical integration 4.10: Quiz: Practicing Graphical integration 1 20

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4.11: Deep insight: Accumulating cause and effect is different from instantaneous 4.11: Deep insight: Accumulating cause and effect is different from instantaneous 21

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4.12: Summary of cause and effect mathematics 4.12: Summary of cause and effect mathematics 22

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4.13: Quiz Summary of accumulating cause and effect 4.13: Quiz Summary of accumulating cause and effect 13 23

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Chapter 5: Minor feedback loops (balancing and reinforcing)

Chapter 5: Minor feedback loops (balancing and reinforcing) Chapter 5: Minor feedback loops (balancing and reinforcing)

Prerequisites: Chapter 4: Accumulating cause and effect relationships

Complete All Items

Page

5. Introduction to Chapter 5 on minor feedback loops 5. Introduction to Chapter 5 on minor feedback loops 1

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5.1: Putting pieces together - an overview 5.1: Putting pieces together - an overview 2

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5.2: Quiz: First order model with balancing feedback: Creating a hypothesis 5.2: Quiz: First order model with balancing feedback: Creating a hypothesis 4 3

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5.2: Balancing feedback - reasoning with structure graphs 5.2: Balancing feedback - reasoning with structure graphs 4

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5.3: Balancing loops - mathematical proof of exponential decay 5.3: Balancing loops - mathematical proof of exponential decay 5

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5.4: Balancing loops - behavior by the tangent method 5.4: Balancing loops - behavior by the tangent method 6

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5.4a: Quiz: The tangent method 5.4a: Quiz: The tangent method 2 7

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5.5: First order information delay 5.5: First order information delay 8

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5.5a: Quiz: Updating of perceived information 5.5a: Quiz: Updating of perceived information 1 9

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5.6: Analysis of first order information delay 5.6: Analysis of first order information delay 10

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5.6a: First order material delay 5.6a: First order material delay 11

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5.7 Quiz: Controlling a stock 5.7 Quiz: Controlling a stock 12

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5.7a Quiz: Deep insight: Feedback theory of decision-making 5.7a Quiz: Deep insight: Feedback theory of decision-making 2 13

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5.7b: Quiz: Analyzing a funnel with in- and outflow. 5.7b: Quiz: Analyzing a funnel with in- and outflow. 4 14

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5.8: Quiz: Economic growth 5.8: Quiz: Economic growth 15

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5.9: Quiz: Modeling growth 5.9: Quiz: Modeling growth 5 16

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5.10: Reinforcing feedback - analysis of behavior and another deep insight 5.10: Reinforcing feedback - analysis of behavior and another deep insight 17

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5.10a: Quiz: Reinforcing loop behavior 5.10a: Quiz: Reinforcing loop behavior 2 18

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5.11: Path dependence and the 70 rule 5.11: Path dependence and the 70 rule 19

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5.12: Misperceived correlation and discrete time model of growth 5.12: Misperceived correlation and discrete time model of growth 20

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5.13a: Quiz: Using what you learnt in Chapter 5 5.13a: Quiz: Using what you learnt in Chapter 5 3 21

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5.13b: Quiz using what you learnt in Chapter 5 5.13b: Quiz using what you learnt in Chapter 5 3 22

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5.14: Quiz: Application to price formation 5.14: Quiz: Application to price formation 4 23

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5.15. You have made good progress, take a deep breath. 5.15. You have made good progress, take a deep breath. 24

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Chapter 6: Minor feedback loops with nonlinear instantaneous relationships

Chapter 6: Minor feedback loops with nonlinear instantaneous relationships Chapter 6: Minor feedback loops with nonlinear instantaneous relationships

Prerequisites: Chapter 5: Minor feedback loops (balancing and reinforcing)

Complete All Items

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6: Introduction to Chapter 6 on minor feedback loops with nonlinearity 6: Introduction to Chapter 6 on minor feedback loops with nonlinearity 1

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6.1: Nonlinear fractional birth and death rates 6.1: Nonlinear fractional birth and death rates 2

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6.1 Quiz: Fractional birth and death rates 6.1 Quiz: Fractional birth and death rates 2 3

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6.2 Quiz: Analyzing behavior with a structure graph 6.2 Quiz: Analyzing behavior with a structure graph 3 4

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6.3: Deep insight: Shifting dominance 6.3: Deep insight: Shifting dominance 5

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6.4. Quiz: Reindeer management 6.4. Quiz: Reindeer management 5 6

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6.5: How do people manage reindeer in the experiment and in real life? 6.5: How do people manage reindeer in the experiment and in real life? 7

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6.6a: Analysis of biological reindeer-lichen model 6.6a: Analysis of biological reindeer-lichen model 8

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6.6b: Analysis of policies that can explain observed decisions 6.6b: Analysis of policies that can explain observed decisions 9

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6.6c Quiz: Policy for reindeer management 6.6c Quiz: Policy for reindeer management 5 10

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6.6d: Implementing reindeer policies 6.6d: Implementing reindeer policies 11

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6.6e: Assignment P'HAPI abstract for reindeer management 6.6e: Assignment P'HAPI abstract for reindeer management 12

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6.7a: Nonlinear relationships with many causes 6.7a: Nonlinear relationships with many causes 13

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6.8a Quiz: Analyzing an influenza epidemic 6.8a Quiz: Analyzing an influenza epidemic 2 14

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6.8b. Quiz: Analyzing an influenza epidemic 6.8b. Quiz: Analyzing an influenza epidemic 4 15

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Chapter 7: Major feedback loops with delays (balancing and reinforcing)

Chapter 7: Major feedback loops with delays (balancing and reinforcing) Chapter 7: Major feedback loops with delays (balancing and reinforcing)

Prerequisites: Chapter 6: Minor feedback loops with nonlinear instantaneous relationships

Complete All Items

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7. Higher order systems with delays 7. Higher order systems with delays 1

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7.1 The underlying structure of higher order systems 7.1 The underlying structure of higher order systems 2

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7.1: Quiz Major feedback loops 7.1: Quiz Major feedback loops 4 3

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7.2 Conventions for naming of variables 7.2 Conventions for naming of variables 4

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7.3 Conventions for the layout of structure diagrams 7.3 Conventions for the layout of structure diagrams 5

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7.3. Quiz: Judging and redrawing a CLD 7.3. Quiz: Judging and redrawing a CLD 6

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7.4 Quiz: Balancing major loop creating cycles, the third behavior mode of linear systems 7.4 Quiz: Balancing major loop creating cycles, the third behavior mode of linear systems 2 7

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7.4a Documenting your model 7.4a Documenting your model 8

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7.4b Quiz: Identifying the equilibrium for the spring model 7.4b Quiz: Identifying the equilibrium for the spring model 2 9

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7.4c Quiz: Explaining cycles 7.4c Quiz: Explaining cycles 3 10

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7.4d: Period length and amplitude of spring cycle 7.4d: Period length and amplitude of spring cycle 11

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7.4e Quiz: What can bring the spring towards equilibrium 7.4e Quiz: What can bring the spring towards equilibrium 3 12

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7.4f The manager's challenge 7.4f The manager's challenge 13

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7.5a Higher order material delays 7.5a Higher order material delays 14

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7.5b Higher order information delays 7.5b Higher order information delays 15

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7.6 Commodity cycles 7.6 Commodity cycles 16

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7.6a Quiz: Analyzing the Cocoa market 7.6a Quiz: Analyzing the Cocoa market 3 17

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7.6b Quiz: Practicing decision-making in a two-stock system 7.6b Quiz: Practicing decision-making in a two-stock system 2 18

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7.6c Quiz: Analyzing policy for Cocoa market 7.6c Quiz: Analyzing policy for Cocoa market 3 19

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7.7. Reinforcing higher order feedback with stock coordination 7.7. Reinforcing higher order feedback with stock coordination 20

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7.7a Quiz: Analyzing policies for Population control 7.7a Quiz: Analyzing policies for Population control 2 21

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7.7b Quiz Transient and steady-state behavior 7.7b Quiz Transient and steady-state behavior 2 22

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7.8 Quiz: Analyzing excessive binge drinking 7.8 Quiz: Analyzing excessive binge drinking 7 23

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Chapter 8: Summary of course and course certificate

Chapter 8: Summary of course and course certificate Chapter 8: Summary of course and course certificate

Prerequisites: Practical details

Complete All Items

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8.0 Introduction to SUMMARY 8.0 Introduction to SUMMARY 1

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8.1 Summary of structures with analogies 8.1 Summary of structures with analogies 2

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8.2 Summary of behavior modes. 8.2 Summary of behavior modes. 3

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8.3 Summary of the System Dynamics method 8.3 Summary of the System Dynamics method 4

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8.4: Summary of organization according to P'HAPI 8.4: Summary of organization according to P'HAPI 5

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8.5: Available material after course 8.5: Available material after course 6

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8.6: Forrester about System Dynamics 8.6: Forrester about System Dynamics 7

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8.7: More to learn 8.7: More to learn 8

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8.8a Short course evaluation 8.8a Short course evaluation 7 9

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8.8b Comments to the course 8.8b Comments to the course 1 10

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Course certificate Course certificate 1 11

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